Moody’s Talks – The Big Picture

Why Private Credit’s Volatility Won’t Stop Growth

Episode Summary

The private credit market has morphed into a powerhouse, deriving its allure from low volatility, stable and high predictable returns. But less than a year after the so-called “golden age” of private credit, the asset class is now grappling with a period of uncertainty following its astronomical growth. That volatility includes a wave of redemptions – when investors go to credit funds and ask for their money back — on top of disruption from AI and calls for more transparency. The wildcard of retail investors also raises the stakes. In this episode, we discuss the negative outlook for perpetual non-traded BDCs (Business Development Companies), the impact from the Middle East conflict, exposure for the software sector, and what regulators might do next.

Episode Notes

The private credit market has morphed into a powerhouse, deriving its allure from low volatility, stable and high predictable returns.

 

But less than a year after the so-called “golden age” of private credit, the asset class is now grappling with a period of uncertainty following its astronomical growth. 

 

That volatility includes a wave of redemptions – when investors go to credit funds and ask for their money back — on top of disruption from AI and calls for more transparency. The wildcard of retail investors also raises the stakes.

 

In this episode, we discuss the negative outlook for perpetual non-traded BDCs (Business Development Companies), the impact from the Middle East conflict, exposure for the software sector, and what regulators might do next.

 

Host: Gabriel Agostini, Assistant Vice President, Credit Strategy and Research, Moody’s Ratings

 

Guests: Marc Pinto, Global Head of Private Credit, Moody’s Ratings; Atsi Sheth, Chief Credit Officer, Moody’s Ratings 

 

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